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> the bettors are motivated to predict truth.

But also motivated to bend the truth to their bet as the journalist in Israel found.


> So far, these two groups have used democracy to get their way.

Oh is that what January 6th was?


I meant only that decisions (such as who gets to be president) have been made within the constitutional system. Violence has not changed any outcomes.

But I will concede that some people on Jan 6th were attempting to change a result by violence. I support sending those people to jail.


Did the suffragettes not believe in democracy?

I don't know enough about the suffragettes, but didn't they get new laws passed to gain the right to vote? That sounds like working within democratic means.

A better example is the Civil War. The southern states refused to accept the free and fair election of Lincoln and decided to secede, which was not allowed by the Constitution.

Are you arguing that the Confederates were right to violate the law just because they believed they were right?


Ah, the classic "people excluded from the democratic process must only work within the democratic process". It might be worth looking into what the suffragettes did, because it wasn't politely begging men to please let them vote.

Have you not heard of the labor movement? Or abolitionists? Or the founding of this country? Or people fighting against Nazi control of their country?

All of those worked outside "legal" means. The law is quite often irrelevant to what's right or moral, and dying on the hill of breaking the law ensures no change can ever occur when a system or person in power inevitably wrongs people.


Protesting is within the democratic process. Labor strikes are within the democratic process. Civil disobedience is within the democratic process (they were prepared to suffer the consequences, including jail time).

But throwing Molotov cocktails is terrorism. And I don't believe (please correct me) that a terrorist has ever gotten new laws passed by using terror.


Check the history of Ireland.

Almost every peaceful protest in history only caused change if it was backed up by a more violent alternative. TPTB (TPTW?) accepted the minimum amount of the requested change that causes the violence to stop, and then claimed it was the peaceful protest that made them do so.

What about executives/scientists on the US nuclear programme?

> But it was incredibly dumb to build many GW of offshore wind in Scotland when the grid was already over capacity.

Isn't it equally dumb to continue to bet the entire country's economy on a tiny little bit of England (and then shame the other regions as unproductive layabouts when they don't produce as much tax revenue)? Energy production is not the only, nor even the biggest imbalance in UK resources. Maybe people and businesses should go where the energy is instead of waiting for it to come to them.


You must be new here


Ha! I stopped worrying about that when someone got $1m for the "Yo" app.


When you're using an agent, the "query" isn't just each bit of text you enter into the agent prompt. It's the whole conversation.

But I do wonder about these tools whether they have tested that the quality of subsequent responses is the same.


That doesn't explain why the protocol matters. Surely for equivalent responses, you need to send equivalent payloads. You shouldn't be able to hack this from the client side.


They're not exactly proportional to the value of the property though are they? There's folks in London with multi-million pound mansions who pay the same or less in council tax than a family home in the suburbs.


Also, what would they win? The death of their wealthiest customers?


Exactly


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