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What's your (hot) take on Starship's second stage reusability?

My (noob) understanding is the challenge is achieving reuse (safety, reliability) while keeping the (economically necessary) 100 ton payload capacity.


My guess is Tesla's pivoting to batteries and storage. Huge demand, great margins, competitive advantage.

I'm very disappointed Tesla has (seemingly) abandoned its goal of producing 20m Model 2 per year. Forfeiting the mass market is a bummer. More so every passing day.

(I'm bearish on Robotaxi and (Tesla's) self-driving.)


> confronted with a world that doesn't work the way you want it to

Sure.

Some of us are just trying to figure out the new rules. What is all this hypercapitalism stuff (aka Muskism) and who are the people (lunatics) pushing us there?

So it's natural to kibitz about one of the most powerful people on the planet. Especially when he's also a world-striding shit poster, antagonizing everyone, demanding a response.

FWIW: the writings of Jill Lepore, Quinn Slobobian, and Ben Tarnoff have been most illuminating. Ditto their misc guest appearances on various podcasts.

X Man: The Elon Musk Origin Story

https://www.pushkin.fm/podcasts/elon-musk-the-evening-rocket

Elon Musk Is Building a Sci-Fi World, and the Rest of Us Are Trapped in It Nov. 4, 2021

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/04/opinion/elon-musk-capital...

Muskism: Guide for the Perplexed

https://www.amazon.com/Muskism-Guide-Perplexed-Quinn-Slobodi...

https://bookshop.org/p/books/muskism-a-guide-for-the-perplex...

https://www.theguardian.com/books/2026/mar/26/muskism-by-qui...

https://www.standard.co.uk/culture/books/muskism-review-elon...


So you just hate him. Great. Now stop derailing every thread related to NASA/Spacex launches.

Citations, please.

Yes and: If a cable has any faults, of any kind.

I can't believe I'm still swapping cables and ports, trial and error, trying to determine if the cable, the port (eg iPhone's charging port), or both, are failing.

Not knowing the USB specs; I assume each head of a cable can do a loop back test, determine if can even see its other head, etc.


Just so I'm clear: What is Meta's non-criminal business?

Pax Americana is doomed. What the USA looks like post-hegemony is TBD.

The Pax Americana was already over when Russia siezed Crimea.

I would've never guessed.

I thought he was merely a moral cripple. Akin to a sociopath.

TIL since that interview: People who struggle to express emotions may have the condition alexithymia.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexithymia

But in @pmarca's case...

Disclaiming introspection is itself a form of introspection. Arguing against introspection, rationalizing one's own dysfunction, is just too cute by half.

I don't buy it.


Look, it's just really disturbing that this guy is the paradigm of a successful VC. He's literally a prideful ignorant, and possibly just a terrible person.

Luck? I don't recall Forest stealing their employer's IP.

(Netscape did settle with UIUC, FWIW.)


> don't believe that Facebook/Meta would continue to grow next year

Huh.

The time I worked at a hyper growth company, us working in the coal mine had much the same skepticism. Our growth rate seemed ridiculous, surely we're over building, how much longer can this last?!

Happily, the marketing research team regularly presented stuff to our department. They explained who are customers were, projected market sizes (regionally, internationally), projected growth rates, competitive analysis (incumbents and upstarts), etc.

It helped so much. And although their forecasts seemed unbelievable, we over performed every year-over-year. Such that you sort of start to trust the (serious) marketing research types.


IMHO Pax Americana ended (passed the point of no return) with GWB. Iraq, 2008 financial crisis, SCOTUS picks, unitary executive, extraordinary rendition, breaking of weapons treaties (nuke testing, bio & chem warfare), abandoning peace between Isreal & Palestinians, etc, etc.

Forfieted any remaining goodwill.

(Post 9/11, It would have been so easy to choose the other path.)

Trump just made it undeniable.


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