> I don't know, I mean, there's lots of smart people who think gold bugs are just nutty libertarian types, and then there are other smart people who aren't particularly bullish on gold (such as yourself).
1) It doesn't depend on how smart the person is. It only depends on whether or not they believe it.
2) It doesn't have to be everyone. It just has to be enough people.
> Which leads me to a more specific question: What kind of event would cause a major "correction" that would drive the gold price down (either over time, but a significant downward trend, or suddenly, like a bubble popping)? I can't really think of one. Can you?
This actually makes me wonder what it would take to synthetically manufacture gold. A glance at Wikipedia says that it's not feasible (possible only in "unmoderated reactors", and I don't know what that means), but we seem close enough that if we wanted to, we could probably do it.
I will be thoroughly entertained if Iran actually decides not only create a honest-to-God nuclear reactor, but uses it to synthesize gold and flood the market. It'll never happen, but it would be hilarious.
>(possible only in "unmoderated reactors", and I don't know what that means)
I'm fairly sure that refers to a nuclear reactor gone into meltdown. By the time you've knocked together enough particles to make gold nuclei it's quite hard to calm the thing down again...
It's possible to distinguish natural diamonds from synthetic diamonds because diamonds can't be melted down and recast, so the impurities and flaws of natural diamonds set them apart.
Gold, on the other hand, is routinely melted down and recast.
Correction; women seem to want 'the real thing', but diamonds aren't themselves valuable, they are a status symbol. Girls don't want to show their friends a "fake" diamond and unfortunately due to marketing, they consider man-made fake even though it's real.
Somehow I can't imagine lab-produced gold being worth less than naturally occurring gold for jewelry, etc. I imagine the only potential difference would be the distribution of isotopes. But I suppose it could still happen if large players would benefit.
1) It doesn't depend on how smart the person is. It only depends on whether or not they believe it.
2) It doesn't have to be everyone. It just has to be enough people.
> Which leads me to a more specific question: What kind of event would cause a major "correction" that would drive the gold price down (either over time, but a significant downward trend, or suddenly, like a bubble popping)? I can't really think of one. Can you?
This actually makes me wonder what it would take to synthetically manufacture gold. A glance at Wikipedia says that it's not feasible (possible only in "unmoderated reactors", and I don't know what that means), but we seem close enough that if we wanted to, we could probably do it.
I will be thoroughly entertained if Iran actually decides not only create a honest-to-God nuclear reactor, but uses it to synthesize gold and flood the market. It'll never happen, but it would be hilarious.